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Southall Property

Brexit has created a buyers’ market in London property

Why you should invest now and buy Southall property

As we draw toward a close in the Brexit debacle (or not, as the case may be), new data has emerged to suggest the buy-to-let market is strengthening in the UK. This is especially true in London, which has regained its position as the major location for buy-to-let investors. In London, Brexit has created a buyers’ market. But where in London should you invest in property?

London is regaining its position as the number one buy-to-let location

As reported in news portal Landlord Today, increasing numbers of buy-to-let investors are seeing now as a good time to buy. The political uncertainty caused by Brexit has caused London house prices to stagnate. In some London boroughs, prices have edged lower. But, with Brexit delayed again, investors are being tempted to buy in London as they take advantage of:

  • Low-interest rates
  • A competitive buy-to-let mortgage market
  • Stagnant house prices
  • Booming tenant demand

This is the conclusion of new data from specialist buy-to-let broker Commercial Trust. It has announced that the number of mortgage applications from investors in London property increased by 4% in the first quarter of 2019 compared to the last quarter of 2018. London now accounts for 15.8% of all its business, compared to 14.5% for the South East.

London market is bottoming out

London estate agent Chestertons has noted signs that the London market is bottoming out. It could be that property prices in the capital will soon begin to move higher again. More people are registering as buyers, while fewer new properties are coming into the market. In February, Chestertons announced that since the start of the year it has seen:

  • New buyer registrations increase by 35%
  • Agreed sales increase by 12% year on year
  • The number of new properties coming into the market down by 22% year on year

In addition, average rental yields in the London locations covered by Chestertons stood at 3.2% in December 2018, compared to 3.0% in December 2017. Guy Gittins, Chestertons’ MD, said, “Property values in the capital – particularly in prime locations – have now come down to a level that is proving increasingly attractive to potential buyers,” adding, “It’s not just local buyers who are coming to the market in their droves now, but investors too, who are seeing improved yields and good opportunities.

At the time of writing, 61% of votes cast in a Landlord Today poll believe that now is a good time to buy in London.

Is Southall London’s hottest spot for investment?

In our market research, one location in London keeps pinging on our radar: Southall. This town in the borough of Ealing is undergoing a massive transformation. It’s close to Heathrow, will soon benefit from Crossrail, and is undergoing massive regeneration. It’s a great place to live, and the local population is expected to grow strongly for the next two decades. Here are just a few of the reasons why we think Southall is packed with potential for property investors.

Affordability and capital growth

Southall currently has some of the most affordable property in London. However, things are changing. While property prices across London have been languishing, Southall’s have been soaring. Estate agent Foxtons recently crunched sold property prices from the Land Registry and found that:

  • In December 2017, the average sold price in Southall was £352,030
  • In December 2018, the average sold price in Southall was £397,353
  • Sold prices in Southall increased by 12.9%

When considered on an annual basis, the average sold price in Southall during 2018 was £378,639. This is up by almost 27% since 2015, when the average sold price during the year was £298,518.

According to the UK House Price Index, London’s average house price is £460,000 (February 2019), down from £536,000 in September 2015.

Southall property is outperforming London. The affordability gap is closing. We expect that this trend may continue.

Rental yield

According to home.co.uk, the average rent in Southall is £1,366 per month. This equates to an average rental yield of 4.1%. This is a third higher than the average rental yield across London.

Regeneration and investment

Investment has been flowing into Southall, from public and private sources. It is one of only 33 designated Opportunity Areas in London and boasts one of the capital’s most ambitious brownfield regeneration projects: Southall Waterside.

Over the next 25 years, Berkeley Group is developing a huge site next to the Grand Union Canal. Southall Waterside will provide 3,750 new homes, and deliver a new cinema, shops, a health centre and a primary school. There will be new parks and open spaces, and every home will be within a five-minute cycle ride of a station. The development will provide housing for 10,000 people. With the ONS forecasting that the population of Ealing will increase by 13% (around 46,000) by 2036, the new homes at Southall Waterside will be in high demand.

Crossrail

Southall is a Crossrail destination. When services start running here, Heathrow will be just eight minutes away. Liverpool Street will be only 24 minutes, and Canary Wharf just 31 minutes. Heathrow is set to expand, with another 40,000 new jobs created at the airport. Southall is set to become a major commuter location, within touching distance of three prime employment hubs.

In summary

We’ve been keeping a close eye on London’s property market since the EU referendum. It does seem that the market is bottoming out, and that now could be a window of opportunity to buy at great value for the long term. When considering exactly where to buy, Southall is like a magnet. Our focus keeps getting drawn there. The potential for profit is huge in Southall. But, as property price movement has shown since the referendum, the comparative affordability in Southall has narrowed. We expect that it will continue to do so. Our view is that Southall could provide some of the best returns for property investors who plan to invest in the next few months.

For more information about property investment opportunities in Southall, contact the team at Gladfish today.

Live with passion

Brett Alegre-Wood

Southall Property

Southall – a professional population that loves renting

5 reasons savvy investors are serious about Southall property

Before investing in property, it pays to measure the potential for your investment. Who are your target tenants? How much demand is there for rental properties? What does the future hold?

In this article, we examine some of Southall’s population statistics – numbers that confirm why savvy property investors are serious about Southall property.

1.    Southall – a young and well-educated population

Everyone knows that the population of the UK is ageing. We are continually told that the public finances will be stretched by the increasing numbers of older people, not working and costing more in housing and healthcare costs. By 2050, the ONS forecasts that one in four of the national population will be over 65 years old.

The average age of the UK’s population has increased by two years to 40 since the late 1990s. In comparison, the average age in Southall is just 35.4 years. Almost 70% of the population in Southall is under the age of 44, and the median age is 33. With almost 50% of the population under 30, there is likely to be a lot of people seeking somewhere to live for many years to come.

Southall’s population is also more highly educated than the national averages. According to the 2011 UK Census, Southall has a lower percentage of residents with one or no GCSEs at grade D or below than the national average.

At the other end of the scale, Southall has a higher-than-national-average of its population with qualifications at NVQ level 4 an above. Not by a small margin, either. 37% of Southall’s residents fall into this highly-educated category, compared with just 27.4% nationally.

2.    Southall – socially affluent and well paid

The residents of Southall are more socially affluent than England’s average when measured by social grade. This is a classification made according to occupation, with households classified by the job of the main income earner. In Southall, we see the following social grade demographic:

Grade Southall England
AB 28.07% 22.96%
C1 30.46% 30.92%
C2 17.65% 20.64%
DE 23.83% 25.49%

 

Those who are employed in higher and intermediate management positions, administrative, or professional roles tend to receive higher salaries. This is reflected in Southall, where the average weekly wage of residents is £582. While this is lower than the London average, it is higher than the national average.

When Crossrail services start running here, the major employment hubs in London will be within 30 minutes’ travel time. It’s likely that earnings here will move toward the London average as Southall becomes increasingly attractive as a commuter town.

3.    Renting is a lifestyle choice in Southall

Here’s a statistic that makes long-term property investors in Southall very happy – people love renting here. The proportion of households in social rented accommodation (either council owned or housing association owned) is on par with the national average (18.1% vs. 17.7% respectively).

In the private rented sector, the story is very different. In Southall, 26.4% of households rent from buy-to-let landlords. Nationally, this figure is just 15.4%. With PRS renting forecast to increase in popularity in the coming years, there is plenty of potential for investors in Southall property to benefit from the lifestyle choice to rent in Southall – especially with such a young population coming through.

4.    The population is growing in Southall

Southall is in the London borough of Ealing. The ONS has forecast that the borough’s population will increase by more than 13% by 2036, to around 394,000. Ealing is acting to provide housing for its growing population. Regeneration and development are high on the list of its priorities, and Southall heads its list of residential developments.

One of London’s largest and most complex regeneration projects is at Southall Waterside. Here, Berkeley Group will deliver 3,750 new homes over a 25-year timeframe. It’s an exciting project, and unique in its design.

At each stage, it will deliver a fully sustainable community that benefits from new parks, gardens, cycle paths, retail, cafés and bars. There will be a new primary school, too. Every home will be within a five-minute cycle ride to a station. It’s a dream location for young professionals and families.

5.    Property is affordable in Southall, but prices are already rising

The average price of a property in Southall is approximately 38% below London’s average price. This makes it one of the most affordable towns in London. However, property prices here are already rising.

According to estate agency Foxtons, the average sold price in Southall increased by 12.8% in 2018, from £352,030 to £397,354. In comprising this data, Foxtons measured the average of sold prices as registered with the UK Land Registry.

As for rental income, according to home.co.uk the average rental price here is £1,393 per month. Based upon the average sold price, this equates to an average rental yield of 4.2%.

Are you a savvy investor?

The best property investors buy a property where demand is likely to remain strong and grow. Southall has all the population characteristics to support capital growth and sustainable rental yields. Crossrail is likely to make Southall even more attractive to young professionals and families.

A socially affluent and young population appears to be choosing to rent as a lifestyle in Southall. Increasingly, tenants will be hunting out properties that offer modern accommodation with lifestyle options on the doorstep. People want to benefit from a good work/life balance. Developments like Southall Waterside provide exactly this.

For more information about property investment opportunities in Southall, contact the team at Gladfish today.

Live with passion

Brett Alegre-Wood

Southall Property

Southall – one of London’s safest locations for lifestyle living

The rest of London is getting jealous of Southall

At a time when London is (unfairly) gaining a reputation as a crime capital, people are becoming more concerned about their personal and property safety than ever before. Families want to bring their kids up in a safe area, without the fear of violent crime hanging over them. Young professionals want to enjoy their free time in a relaxed atmosphere.

Southall is a winner in the safety stakes. Crime rates are lower here than most of London’s averages, and in many categories are lower than national averages. And, despite the widespread reports of a shortage of police officers, Southall crime rates are bucking London’s rising trend and falling across many crime categories.

If you want to cycle in London, live in Southall

Cycling is one of London’s favourite activities, but bicycle crime is a problem in most London boroughs. Not in Southall. You are less than half as likely to be a victim of bicycle crime here than you are on average in London. In fact, the occurrence of bicycle crime is only 60% of the national average.

With regeneration projects like Berkeley Group’s ambitious Southall Waterside including cycle paths as a transport option, this statistic is going to please a lot of people who cycle to work. In fact, every property in Southall Waterside is within five minutes of a station – ideal for those who benefit from a Cycle to Work scheme.

Shoplifting and burglary? Less likely in Southall than in the rest of London.

Southall is famous for its markets, gold jewellery stores, sweet shops and fantastic street food. It has the largest Punjabi population outside of India, and the Indian influence shines through around every corner. When Crossrail services start running here, it’s likely that more people will visit to take advantage of the very special atmosphere and some incredible restaurants in the heart of Southall.

The occurrence of shoplifting and theft from the person (for example, pickpocketing) is way below the London average. The shoplifting rate of 4.5 occurrences per 1,000 of population per year is just 70% of the national average and below London’s rate of 5.2 per 1,000 population.

Theft from the person rates is less than a third of the London average, at just 1.8 per 1,000 population per year.

Enjoy a relaxed night out in Southall

When you come home from a hard day at work, it’s good to be able to go out, meet friends, and enjoy a relaxed evening together. There are some great pubs and bars near to Southall station – in North Road, The Broadway, and King Street – and it’s here that you can let your hair down and enjoy life to its fullest in the company of friends.

Antisocial behaviour fell by almost 3% in the year to March 2019. Possession of weapons – at 0.7 per 1,000 population per year – is lower than London’s average and, perhaps surprisingly, lower than the national average. This will also please parents who are concerned about the increase in knife crime in London.

What do people desire from their lifestyle?

Increasingly, people want to benefit from a good work/life balance. They want to be able to get to and from work easily, spend more time with their family and friends, enjoy good food and drink, and exercise regularly in the open air. Southall offers all of this, in a safe and welcoming environment.

When Crossrail services start running, commuters into London will benefit from journey times of between 17 and 31 minutes to the main employment hubs of the West End, the City, and Canary Wharf. Heathrow Airport – where many local residents work – will be less than 10 minutes away.

For those who enjoy the outdoors, Minet Park is on the doorstep. This park includes picnic areas, a visitor centre, and miles of footpaths to help explore the waterways, grasslands and hedgerows. There is a children’s play area, and the park offers a full programme of events throughout the year. Cyclists can book Hillingdon cycle track at no charge.

Southall Waterside will connect to Minet Park and will offer its own green access to explore and enjoy, including a new 40-acre park, walking trails and cycle paths. A one-kilometre stretch of the Grand Union Canal is being upgraded as part of the development here.

Whether shopping, relaxing, exercising or sleeping, people deserve to feel safe and welcome where they live. You would be hard pushed to find a safer, more welcoming location than Southall.

For more information about Southall Waterside property, contact the team at Gladfish today.

Live with passion

Brett Alegre-Wood

Southall Property

Southall property prices to lift off thanks to Crossrail and Heathrow Airport

Infrastructure, regeneration and green space to pump potential for property investors

Southall property is cheaper than its neighbours – Brentford, Greenford and Heston – but this could change soon. Rightmove has predicted that Southall will be one of London’s fastest property price growth areas. Property values and rental prices are set to continue rising here, thanks to the combined effects of Crossrail (aka the Elizabeth line) and Heathrow Airport.

Crossrail boosts rental prices in Southall

Even though Crossrail services have not yet started, and the improvements to Southall’s Crossrail station were delayed for 18 months, rental prices in Southall have been the strongest performer in London. People are renting here in anticipation of the benefits of the Elizabeth line – easier access into London, with Liverpool Street and Canary Wharf just 24 minutes’ and 31 minutes’ travel time respectively.

The average rent along the Elizabeth line has increased at double the rate of the London average during the last six years. According to research from Landbay, the London average rent has increased by a shade more than 8% since 2012, when construction on the Crossrail project started. Along the Crossrail route, the average rent has increased by almost 16.5%.

In Southall, the average rent has increased by more than 38% over the same period – more than twice as fast as the average rent rise along the Crossrail route, and nearly four times faster than the London average.

Landbay’s Rental Price Index (June 2018) published the average rental price in Southall as £1,517, versus £1,098 in January 2012.

Why are rents rising so fast in Southall?

The knowledge that transport links are improving has prompted higher demand for property in the areas immediately surrounding Crossrail stations. But why is the rent rise in Southall so much higher than elsewhere? The answer is more complex than simply pointing to Crossrail.

Regeneration of Brownfield is unlocked by Crossrail

Crossrail coming to Southall has unlocked the potential of its large stock of brownfield land. Developers have realised this, acted, and begun redeveloping swathes of land here.

Near to the station, Merrick Place, a £200 million scheme, will create 575 new homes in four towers. This is set to trigger the regeneration of Southall’s centre for the next 10 years.

However, Merrick Place is dwarfed by the 25-year regeneration of 88 acres of brownfield land that used to house the old gasworks. Southall Waterside will deliver 3,750 new homes. It will provide new parks and green spaces, walkways and cycle paths, and waterside living that is likely to be the most attractive in London. Every home will be within a five-minute cycle ride of a station.

In July last year, Cushman & Wakefield published a study in which they named Southall as one of a handful of untapped London locations where the average property price is under £500,000. Cushman & Wakefield’s Oliver Christy described Southall as being “on the cusp of change”. That change is now happening. Rightmove forecasts that Southall will become one of London’s highest price growth areas, thanks to regeneration.

Heathrow Airport expansion to create thousands of jobs for Southall’s residents

Heathrow Airport looks set to get a third runway, and this will be great news for residents in Southall. Crossrail will slash journey times between Southall and Heathrow Airport to just eight minutes. Heathrow Airport’s expansion will create nearly 40,000 new local jobs. These jobs will include 5,000 new airport apprenticeships – a real boost to employment for young people in the area.

Southall – transforming from brownfield to vibrant green space

Developer Berkeley Group is emphasising community at Southall Waterside. The unique strategy of ‘staged placemaking’ will ensure that communities are created at every phase of development. Green space is central to this, with parks and open areas providing superior outside space for children to play and people to meet and take part in recreational pursuits.

This focus on community and green space near to Crossrail is a truly exciting prospect.

In 2012, Crossrail forecast that property prices near to new stations would increase by 25% more than the average property price increase in central London. Infrastructure improvements and regeneration are key to unlocking this potential.

According to British Pearl, early investors in property within a mile of Crossrail stations saw their investment pile on 66% between 2009 and August 2018 – 15% more than the rest of London. Prices at Woolwich have doubled since 2007, thanks in large part to the regeneration that has taken place because of the infrastructure improvements. Could we see similar happen in Southall in the next five to 10 years?

The potential for profit by investing in Southall property is huge. Heathrow Airport and Crossrail are the infrastructure improvements that could boost property values and rental prices. But this isn’t the end of the story. The Office for National Statistics has done its own research into the effect of nature on property prices. It found that developments that benefit from green space and being close to woodland and parks should expect their property prices to outperform other properties by 2%.

Southall Waterside is near Crossrail. It’s a great location for commuters. It will benefit from the thousands of jobs created at Heathrow Airport. And it is enveloped in green space. The potential speaks for itself.

For more information about Southall Waterside property, contact the team at Gladfish today.

Live with passion

Brett Alegre-Wood

Southall

10 best things to do for families in Southall

Indoor and outdoor activities for children of all ages in Southall

If there is one thing that families need, it’s something to keep the kids amused. Parents in Southall never need to ask what to do with kids at the weekend. In and around Southall, there is plenty of family entertainment. You could visit a different attraction or park every weekend for a year, and still not have seen half of what this area of London has to offer to families.

In no particular order, here is our pick of the 10 best things to do for families within 30 minutes of Southall.

1.    Hanwell Zoo

This is a great day out for children from toddlers to twelve years old.

A day packed with wildlife fun, animal ‘meet and greets’, and plenty of educational programmes to help the kids learn about rare species, conservation, and more.

Marmosets, meerkats, and mara are just a few of the creatures that kids will marvel at. Children can run around freely at the zoo’s playground facilities. At Hanwell, youngsters arrive as kids and leave as mini zookeepers!

Where: Hanwell, only 16 minutes from Southall

2.    Airport Bowl

A firm favourite with Southall families on wet weekends, Airport Bowl in Harlington is home to an incredible 36 lanes of 10-pin bowls. There are also eight pool tables, a video arcade and a food court.

It’s a big winner with children for birthday parties, with medals for all, food, unlimited squash, photos and balloon modelling all available to add extra sparkle to the party fun.

Where: Harlington, only 22 minutes from Southall

3.    Dinosaur Escape

A mini golf adventure. Instead of windmills, near life-size moving dinosaurs try to stop you making a hole-in-one. This is crazy golf taken to another level, with 18 holes meandering through a Jurassic jungle. It’s like taking a step back in time, with the air filled with the noise of the prehistoric past. You’ll be wondering what lurks around the next corner.

It’s not all about hitting a ball with a club, though. There is plenty of dinosaur history and information to collect as you make your way around the course, ensuring that you and your children leave a little more enlightened. Another venue that is great for birthday parties, and exceptional fun for children of all ages – right up to 99!

Where: Northolt, only 10 minutes from Southall

4.    Ceramics Café

The Ceramics Café is the place to visit for a fun activity that will build great memories as the children create wonderful keepsakes. Simply select the piece you wish to paint, choose you colours, and paint your design on the item chosen. Return in a few days, and pick up your keepsake. They make perfect gifts for grandparents!

You aren’t left alone to hope your work comes out the way you planned. Experienced staff are on hand to offer all the help needed. A fun activity with a beautiful end result.

Where: Ealing, only 17 minutes from Southall

5.    Northala Fields Park

The award-winning Northala Fields Park has something for everyone, and for children of all ages.

With six fishing lakes, three wildlife ponds, a model boating lake, and two well-equipped playgrounds, it’s a fantastic place to spend many hours. Take the family for a ramble through the woods, and see if the kids can find the mosaic in the middle of the park.

Bring the bikes to make exploring a little easier, or, better still, a kite for a bit of flying on the fields – a very popular pastime here.

A visitor centre includes a café, toilets, a fishing office and classrooms.

Where: Northolt, only eight minutes from Southall

6.    Jungle Versatile Indoor Play

A fantastic indoor play centre for children up to the age of 12, with rope swings, crawl tunnels, ball pits and more. Fully air-conditioned, it’s the perfect place to bring children when you want them to have the kind of fun that ensures they are worn out by bedtime.

A five-star café sells a range of hot and cold food and drinks, but you don’t need to sit out the fun – parents can join in during the interactive parent and child sessions.

Birthday parties can also be booked here, and there is also a range of seasonal events throughout the year.

Where: Hounslow, only 21 minutes from Southall

7.    Oxygen Freejumping Acton

A trampoline park with 150 wall-to-wall trampolines that will get your kids bouncing. There’s a giant obstacle course to tackle, games of dodgeball to win, and basketball hoops to slam dunk from a bouncing start. As if this were not enough, there are fancy dress sessions with prizes for under-fives, and if your bounce isn’t quite up to the mark you can take trampoline lessons with a British gymnastics qualified instructor.

Where: Acton, only 22 minutes from Southall

8.    Brentford Leisure Centre

Brentford Leisure Centre is all you would expect it to be, and then some.

A multi-purpose centre, it includes a gym with more than 100 fitness stations, swimming pools for serious swimmers and waves and flumes for the funster, a children’s soft play area, squash courts, and a sports hall for racket sports and five-a-side football.

Activities here include swimming lessons, holiday activities and birthday parties. If you don’t fancy a high-energy afternoon, enjoy a drink and a bite to eat at the centre’s café while the children are learning to swim or with their team on the five-a-side pitch.

Where: Brentford, only 19 minutes from Southall

9.    Hounslow Urban Farm

Hounslow Urban Farm is a city jewel, and a fantastic day out for children who wouldn’t normally see farm animals. It is one of London’s largest urban farms, covering a huge 29 acres.

There is a farm café for lunch or tea, a bouncy castle and a souvenir shop. But, of course, these aren’t the main attractions.

The kids will love the animal encounters, which give them interactive time with the animals through the day. Parent the pigs, greet the goats, shake hands with the sheep. Wonder at the majesty of the owl. The fun doesn’t stop. The farm has a small group of Shetland ponies that give a fantastic introduction to pony riding.

Where: Hounslow, only 23 minutes from Southall

10. The Secret Railway

The Secret Railway – or, to give it the correct name, Hampton & Kempton Waterworks Railway – is the only operational narrow-gauge railway inside the M25. Once used to supply London with drinking water, it is now a visitor attraction that holds events throughout the year. These events include:

  • Superheroes Day
  • Dinosaur Day
  • Ghost Train
  • Santa Specials
  • And more

There are special museum days that include model railway exhibitions, stationary engines and model boats, classic car and bike shows, and a Christmas Fair.

Wow! So much to do here, and this is before you have even taken a ride on the little steam train.

Where: Hounslow, only 29 minutes from Southall

Southall – a great place for families to live

Southall is a great location for families. There is plenty to do here, so the kids should never get bored. The Taxi of Mum and Dad may get a little exhausted, though, with the weekends the perfect time for kids to let off steam from a hard week at school.

Now we’ve mentioned education, it’s worth noting that 13 of the 18 primary schools in Southall are rated as good by Ofsted. At the secondary school level, the most highly-rated schools are Dormers Wells High School, Villiers High School, and the outstanding-rated Featherstone High School.

Southall is a great place for families to live, and it’s getting even better. Berkeley Group is developing Southall Waterside. This development is ideal for families. Parks, trees, water and gardens. Shops, restaurants, cafés, art and entertainment. With Crossrail on its way here, Southall Waterside will be only 17 minutes from Bond Street. And, of course, within a few minutes of some of the best family entertainment and activities in London.

With the population here forecast to grow by 13% by 2030, the potential for profitable property investment is huge. For more information about Southall Waterside property, contact the team at Gladfish today.

Live with passion

Brett Alegre-Wood

London

Lets talk about London

 

Video Transcription:

Hey guys, so welcome to Brett’s Property Rants. So, I want to talk about London today. London’s really actually starting to impress me, I have to say. Most people are talking it down. Most people are actually still saying… It never ceases to amaze me how people can be so two or three years behind

I’m in Singapore now, right now on the beach so you can see this lovely view of all the shipping, and I’ll tell you what, Singapore is not slowing down, that’s for sure. The number of boats that are out there.

So London. So it’s amazing, I find consistently how people quote what was two to three to four to five years ago, the market. So people are saying, oh yeah, house prices are dropping a lot in London, it’s like, no, they’re not, actually. They were, and it’s amazing, when they were dropping, people were telling me, oh, I want to get into London, house prices, growing. It’s like, no, they’ve gone down. But that’s the reality here, is that most people are behind the market by about two or three years. And the problem is when there is a massive change in the market, all of a sudden they’re shocked by it. Now, look, for the last sort of six months, probably even longer than that, nine months.

I’ve been talking about that there will be a downturn. Make no mistake, there’s going to be a downturn. America with what it’s doing, China with what it’s doing, the world with what it’s doing, and whether it be Brexit triggers it, whether it be Trump triggers it, whether it be Trump invading who knows where to keep the war machine going, who knows what the trigger is going to be.

Go into YouTube, and have a look at all the videos that predict prices going down in 2013. And in 2014. And in 2016. 17, 18, 19. Every single year there’s, house prices are dropping. People are quite happy to try and predict the moment that it’s going to happen. But you know what? Most the time, they’re wrong.

And it’s ridiculous. So, what do I see with London? London is going to do well. Make no mistake, it is still a world city, I don’t care what happens with Brexit, at the end of the day, Brexit hasn’t been the downfall of London. If anything, the business has been moving from London up to Manchester and Birmingham. So actually, they’re being the real beneficiaries. But nobody’s really talking about that, are they? Understand, London is still growing.

London is still expanding. So you’re not gonna get rid of London any time soon. But what I will say is this. Right now there’s roughly one million… There are seven million people in the world, okay… One million people live in North America, one million people live in Europe. Sorry, what am I saying? There are seven billion people. One billion in America, one billion in Europe, one billion in Africa, and then there’s effectively four billion in Asia. So, those four billion in Asia, that is starting now to really show, and we’re talking India, and Asia, and China, effectively, and southeast Asia and that. So that’s where the population is.

So what you’re starting to find are historical things where… The UK used to rule the world. And then it lost its place to the US. And the US is losing its place to China. Now, is it China, or is it Asia? That’s interesting, that’s a topic for another discussion. But the reality is what we’re finding is the population now, is going to continue rising, it is going to level out because not as many babies are being born now. So what does that mean? Well, what that means is in about two generations, we’re actually gonna see a lot of our towns, our suburbs, places outside the fundamentals, are gonna start to drop off. In other words, people aren’t gonna live there anymore. They’re gonna become the ghost towns. Look in some of the American… I can’t think of the route name. In the deserts of like, Nevada and California and that sort of stuff. You know, when you get out and there’s an old place and there’s like one petrol station, and there’s no one for kilometres. That sort of thing. The Hollywood movie type scene. That, potentially, is what’s gonna happen with a lot of the suburbs far out, because people are moving to the cities.

Because they move to the cities, what’s one of the best cities in the world, still to this day, what’s still seen as a safe haven is London. And that’s not going to change any time soon. London is a fantastic place. If you can’t afford London, okay fine, Manchester, Birmingham, long term, fantastic. Now that’s not to mean that they’re not gonna still go up and down. With the market, that is gonna happen. But if you buy for the long term, which my suggestion is you are and you should be, and you should be buying to hold, as opposed to trading, then this is a great way and a great place to buy. The thing I like about London right now is that we’ve got developers that are having problems selling. In fact, no stock is moving. So they’re willing to do deals.

So actually, London is the cheapest it’s ever been. Two years ago, house prices were dropping. They’d stopped dropping and they were sort of evening out, but what was happening is a steady rate of sales. So what actually happened, developers and agents that, they weren’t negotiating. But now what’s happened, things have dropped off. Now, prices aren’t really moving that much. They’re still staying. Actually, in fact, they went up this month, and down last month, and the reality is what happens now is vendors and developers and that are willing to do even more deals. So you’re getting that extra push, but the fundamentals are still there. I mean, Brexit isn’t that much of a drum as people are making out. A lot of the damage is already been done. It’s been slow, ripping off the Band-Aid rather than the quick get rid of it and date it done.

So look, London is back. Make no mistake. We’re looking at stuff that… Now, I’m not talking central London now, we’re not really looking central London, but some places like Southwell, which you may not have heard, out of Eling, that sort of places. Moving out of the centre now places that… We were very much in the southeast, southwest, that sort of area, the last boom if you like, but now we might be moving east. Sorry. West. But further west. So what you’re finding now is rather than being in the centre, you’re sort of moving that out and following that ripple effect out where the fundamentals are changing. So there are some major, major things happening.

Communal towns. They’re all doing really well. As long as you get the fundamentals. Even with things like Airbnb, if you get within five minutes of a train station in London, and potentially, if you get an Airbnb through your lease, then that’s another option as well. So there are more options now to make more money on some of our properties. We’re starting to get into the service apartment side of things, which is really exciting. It’s hard because on one hand you’ve got the developers that are saying no to it, and so they’re prohibiting it in the leases, but then, on the other hand, it’s actually where the market is heading. London is back.

Make no mistake. Research it, look at it, and you will start to see things starting to move in the right direction. It may be a year or two before, even three years, four years before you see booming growth again. But it is worthwhile and now I think is the cheapest time that you’re ever gonna find. I don’t see it going down further, because developers are willing to do that extra development, that extra discounting, that extra bargaining, because they need to get the volume of sales. It’s as simple as that. And people are starting to realize if they need to get rid of it, they need to get rid of it now. They don’t wanna be waiting til the Brexit happens or doesn’t happen, or referendum second who knows with Brexit. It’s all up in the air. Anyone that says they know, they don’t know.

I’ve been actually predicting it quite accurately so far, but really, it’s a, if you wanna, it’s just an amazing thing to view. I mean, I don’t think we’ll ever have this happen again in our life. But maybe it will, maybe this is a sign of all politics to come. You know, in the future. Anyway guys, have a great day. Live with passion. And make sure you subscribe, comment, anything you wanna say. If you wanna argue with me, you wanna prove me wrong, do it. I’m looking forward to it. Looking forward to a healthy discussion.

All right guys have a great day. Live with passion. See ya.

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